The considering year  ·  An evidence-based essay for parents

The Year Between Noticing and Deciding

Who considers switching schools, who actually does, and what finally moves them

14-minute readEvery figure sourced belowBy George WeberNothing here is for sale

You remember the conference.

Fifteen minutes on a small chair at a small table. The teacher was kind, and she had done her homework. There was a folder. Reading on level. Math fine. A sticky note with one good thing your daughter said in class. “She’s a pleasure to have,” the teacher said, and you could tell she meant it.

You said thank you. You meant that too.

In the car you asked how her day was.

“Fine.”

That word comes home a lot now. So does the stomachache on Sunday nights, the one that never shows up on a Friday. So does the reading log she used to fill in without being asked, and now leaves blank until you ask twice. She used to tell you about her day at dinner, all of it, in too much detail. Now you get “fine” and a shrug, and you have learned not to push.

You brought it up at home last spring. You brought it up again in August. Both times, you ended the talk the same way.

“I’m probably overthinking it.”

There is a note on your phone. It has no title. Every few weeks you add a line to it. Stomachache again, Sunday. Didn’t want to go to the birthday party. Said the math is “baby math.” You have never read it from the top.

Some nights, after the house is quiet, you read about other schools. You don’t tell anyone. You put the phone face down and go to bed.

This is not a story about a parent who cannot make up her mind. It is about the year between noticing something and deciding what it means. A great many parents live through that year. Almost nobody gives it a name.

The year nobody puts on the calendar

The considering year has no start date. It starts with something small: a word, a look at pickup, a teacher’s comment that doesn’t sound like your child. By the time you realize you are in it, you have been in it for months.

It is a real job. It just doesn’t look like one.

You watch. At breakfast you read her face the way you read the weather. At pickup you watch how she walks to the car before she sees you. You listen for which names come up at dinner, and which names stopped coming up.

You look things up. Late, alone, on the phone. School websites. Other parents’ posts. Words you had never searched before this year.

You rehearse. What you would say to the teacher. What you would say at home. What you would say to your mother, if it ever came to that, and you already know what she would say back.

And you carry it quietly. Saying it out loud might make it real. It might also make you sound like the kind of parent who makes a big thing out of a hard month.

Sometimes the two adults who know a child best see two different children. One sees the mornings: the slow shoes, the stomachache, the quiet in the car. The other sees the evenings, after the day has worn off, when she is laughing at the dinner table. “She seems fine to me” is an honest report of what the other one saw. So is your unease. Neither of you is wrong about your half. But when the halves don’t match, it is easy for the one with the worry to decide she must be the one imagining it.

One parent, writing on a public forum, put the guilt of it in one line:

“It makes me feel guilty that I even considered it”

Parent, public forum

If that is you, the guilt is not a sign you did something wrong.

Your child’s school sends home the reports it was built to send: reading level, math, conduct. They are useful, and they are real. But there is no box on the report card for stopped telling me about her day. There is no line for the Sunday stomachache. So the things you notice most have nowhere official to go, and you start to ask yourself whether they count at all.

And the choice itself arrives in one piece. Stay or leave. It comes with no middle step and no scale for “somewhat worried.” It also comes on the school’s clock, not yours. The fall conference. The first report card. The long winter break. The forms for next year in the spring. The quiet of summer, when everything seems better. Each one looks like a moment to decide. Each one comes with a good reason to wait for the next.

That is the design you are inside. It is nobody’s fault. The school is doing what schools do: teaching a room full of children and reporting what can be measured. You are doing what parents do: noticing what can’t. The trouble is that nothing connects the two. So the year stretches, one checkpoint at a time.

The case for waiting

Under the months of “I’m probably overthinking it” sits a belief. It deserves to be said plainly, because it is a good one:

Until I’m sure, the responsible thing is to wait. My unease is probably overthinking.

Take the first half first. Waiting is often wise.

Children have hard seasons. A hard fall can turn into a good spring. A new seat, a new friend, a teacher who finally clicks with her. You have seen it happen, maybe to her older brother, maybe to you when you were ten. Moving a child to a new school costs something real. Friends. A bus stop. A building she knows her way around. A parent who pulled a child out at every bad week would do harm, and you know it.

You are also not alone in weighing that. In a December 2025 survey of 3,960 parents by the National School Choice Awareness Foundation, a nonprofit that promotes school choice, 31 percent had searched for a new school during the year and not moved a child. The Foundation counted a search for any reason, not only an unhappy one. When they were asked what stopped them, the most common answer was concerns about disruption (33 percent). Tied for next, at 26 percent each, were limited openings and “uncertainty about making the wrong choice.” Transportation was close behind, at 25.

Some of those are practical: no seat, no bus. Two of them, disruption and the fear of choosing wrong, are the ones you are weighing at night. They are not excuses.

One parent on the forums wrote what that second one feels like from the inside:

“that lingering guilt that I will be making the wrong decision for them and their future.”

Parent, public forum

So the first half of the belief stays. Nothing here asks you to drop it.

The second half is different. My unease is probably overthinking. That one is doing a quieter job. Partly it is humility: who are you to second-guess a teacher with a folder? Partly it is protection. If it is all in your head, then nothing has to change, and nobody has to hear you say it out loud.

That half deserves a fair test. It leans on one word. The folder says fine. Sometimes home says it too, and means it: “She seems fine to me.” Of the two, the folder is the harder one to argue with.

What the research says about the considering year

You have a lot of company

Start with how common it is to consider another school.

The federal government surveys parents about their children’s schooling every few years. In the 2022–23 round, parents of 36 percent of students said they had considered other schools for that child. That is more than one child in three.

Picture that in your daughter’s classroom. In a class of 25 that matched the national figure, the parents of about nine children would have considered other schools. You would not know which nine, or why. Some might be choosing a first school or moving house, because that number counts any considering, for any reason. Even so, it tells you that considering other schools is not something a few restless parents do. It is ordinary.

A consulting firm, Tyton Partners, went looking for a different group. It surveyed more than 2,000 parents in the summer of 2023. It picked them out by two things together: in its words, “their expressed desire to transform their child’s educational experience, coupled with a perceived inability to currently act on that interest.”

Wanting a change, and feeling you can’t act on it yet. The firm estimated that nearly half of all K–12 parents, 48 percent, fit that description. Most of them wanted to add programs to their child’s current school rather than leave it. About 5 percent of all K–12 parents aimed to move their child to a new school. More than twice as many, about 12 percent, wanted to step out of their child’s school and put together a plan of their own, what the firm called “a bespoke educational experience.”

The firm’s name for that group was not “indecisive.” It was “Open-minded.” If you have spent months wanting something different and not yet able to move, you have a great deal of company, and a kinder name than the one you have been using on yourself.

Who moves

EdChoice, a group that favors school choice, asks parents a careful question: “Besides moving from grade school to middle school or middle school to high school, has your child ever switched from one type of school (or school sector) to another?” That means public to private, private to charter, school to homeschool, and so on. In its August 2024 survey, one in five parents said yes, at some point in a child’s time in school.

Moving is something ordinary families do. So is wanting a change and not being able to make it yet, which is where you are.

What moves the ones who move

When a family does switch, what finally moves them?

EdChoice asked the parents whose child had switched school types to name the reasons. They could pick more than one. Here are the top seven:

Read down that list. The top of it is about a child. How she feels in the morning. Who is hurting her. Whether the work fits her. The one about values is there, and it matters to the families who named it. It sits lower on the list.

EdChoice noted that the list has changed over time. When it started asking, the most common answer was that a child’s academic needs were not being met. Stress, anxiety and bullying have since moved ahead of it.

Tyton asked its Open-minded parents something different. Most of them, remember, were not planning to leave. They were asked: “Which of the following would cause you to take action to improve your youngest child’s education?” They could pick up to two. Mental health concerns came first, at 46 percent. Academic concerns came next, at 44. Then social and emotional development, at 32, and physical wellbeing, at 27. Concerns about values and beliefs came further down, at 16.

Two different questions, and a similar order. In both, how she is feeling and whether the work fits her sit near the top. Values sit lower down, at 16 percent in each.

A parent on one of the forums put it briefly:

“We aren’t anti public school… not good fit”

Parent, public forum

What the year looked like from outside

Back to the folder. Does “fine” on paper settle it?

The switchers’ list above comes from parents whose child had already moved, asked afterward. By then they knew how the story ended.

One study did something different. It looked at the year before, using reports gathered before each child left, not recalled afterward.

Starting with the kindergarten class of 2010–11, the federal government followed a national sample of children through elementary school, gathering reports from the children, their parents and their teachers. Two researchers, Sharon Green-Hennessy and Emily Mariotti, found 187 children in that sample who started kindergarten in school and then left to be homeschooled before fifth grade. They looked back at what had been reported before each child left, and compared it with the children who stayed.

It is one study, and it started from the families who left. It compares groups of children, not any one parent’s worry, so it cannot say how many families saw the same things, stayed, and were fine. And it cannot tell you what your own notes mean.

Here is what they found, in their words.

“When assessed shortly before leaving, these children were more likely to be absent and to have parents who did not endorse being very satisfied with their child’s school …” In plain words, their parents were less likely to say they were very satisfied with the school. The absences and the lower satisfaction, the researchers wrote, “appeared uniquely exacerbated just prior to departure from the school system.”

The children “were more likely to experience bullying in the year before they began to homeschool.”

And the children “did not score differently on academic achievement tests” than their peers who were still in school.

So in the year before these families left, the children were fine on paper: their scores looked like those of the children who stayed. Over that same year, as a group, they were more likely to miss school and more likely to be bullied.

A test score is the closest thing a study has to your folder. Neither has a place for why she wanted to stay home, or whose name keeps coming up at dinner. You do. And a happy evening at home is an honest report, of the evening. You see the mornings.

That is what the word “overthinking” costs. Not the waiting. The record. A worry you keep calling nothing gets kept in scraps: a line here, a line there, no dates, never read from the top. So it never becomes something you can look at whole, and the conference comes around again with nothing in your hands.

Noticing is not overthinking. It is the first half of deciding.

Said in your own words, the new belief sounds something like this:

I’m allowed to wait. The folder can’t answer this by itself, and I see things it doesn’t. So I’ll wait with my eyes open, and I’ll write it down.

The first half of the old belief is still standing. You can still wait until you are sure. What changes is what “sure” is made of. It stops being a feeling you are hoping will arrive. It becomes a page you are filling in.

What noticing looks like on paper

That untitled note on your phone is already the start of a record. It just needs a few more lines, and dates.

Here is one way to keep it. It is a suggestion, not a test, and none of it needs an expert. All of it is things you are already noticing.

Days missed, and why. The school counts the days; the why is yours to write down. Not only sick days. The mornings she begged to stay home. The mornings you let her.

What she says about other children. Write down names, and what she said, in her words.

Sunday nights. The stomachache that comes before Monday and never on a Friday is worth a line every time.

Whether the work fits her. “Baby math” is a note. So are tears over homework she used to finish on her own.

What the teacher says. Her words, not your summary. The teacher sees your daughter for most of the school day, in rooms you never see. She is not the problem. She may be the best witness you have. At the next conference, after the folder, ask her two things the report card does not cover: Who does she sit with at lunch? What is she like at recess? Write down the answers before you start the car.

It does not need to be long. A few lines a week is enough. Sunday night works, since you are often awake then anyway, listening for the stomachache. Date every line. The dates are what turn a feeling into a pattern, or show you that there isn’t one.

Then, at home, decide one thing ahead of time. What would need to be on this page by spring for us to look seriously? And what would need to be on it for us to stop looking?

That spring question is for the slow, unclear things. Some things do not wait for spring. If she is being picked on or hurt, if she is afraid to go, or if she seems low in a way that frightens you, take it to the school, or to her doctor, now. Bring the page.

Some pages fill up with good weeks. A new friend. A teacher who changed the seating. A Sunday with no stomachache, then another. That is an answer too, and a good one. Deciding to stay, on the evidence, is still deciding.

The page also gives you something to say out loud. “I have a feeling” is hard to say to a teacher, or even at home. “She has missed four Mondays since October, and here is what she said about why” is easier. It is not an accusation. It is a record. Anyone who loves her can read it with you.

A year from now

It is fall again. The leaves are in the gutters, and the school forms are on the fridge under the same magnet. You are back at the conference, on the same small chair, or one like it.

The teacher has her folder. This time you have a page too.

The note on your phone has a title now. It has dates. You read it from the top one night in the spring, all of it, and then you read it again at the kitchen table with someone who loves her. The first line was from more than a year before. Stomachache again, Sunday. You remember calling that overthinking.

Maybe the page filled up with good weeks. The teacher moved her seat, a new girl moved in next door, and by March the Sunday lines had stopped. So she stayed, and this conference is in the same classroom, and you have one good question to ask instead of nodding.

Maybe it filled up the other way. The Mondays kept going missing. The same name kept coming up, and in November you took the page to the school instead of waiting. Some of it got better. Not enough. And by April the page said it plainly enough that you were sure. So this year’s conference is in a different building, or at a different table. Maybe your own kitchen table.

Either way, you did not decide on a feeling you were waiting to become certain. You decided on what you had seen, written down, over a year.

Wherever the table is this year, someone at it says one thing about your daughter that is not about reading or math. Something they noticed. You write it down.

You were never overthinking. You were noticing. The deciding came after, and it was yours.

About the writer

Who wrote this, and why

My name is George Weber. My wife, Jaclyn, and I have five children, all under eleven.

My second son is Jordy. When he was seven, we sat at the kitchen table after dinner, and I asked him to explain why reading and discussion were so hard. This is a boy who will stand at a workbench for hours without looking up. He taught his little brother and sister to ride a bike, and then to use a screw gun. He builds things I could not build. That night he kept his head down. Twice, all he gave me was “I don’t know.” Then he said it:

“I’m just not good at school.”

He was not describing a difficulty. He was describing himself.

Here is the part I would rather not say. I had seen it coming for a while. That night I was interrogating a seven-year-old for a reason he did not have, when what he was really carrying was shame. And I kept sending him, because I could not see what else to do.

For years, Jaclyn had told me the truth about the other option. She would not become the entire staff of a school with five children in it, and if we did this, I would have to free at least fifteen hours a week. She was right on both counts, and I could not find the hours. So I know the arithmetic in these essays from the inside.

Before this work, I made more than $4 million building six personal-training studios. I have stepped away from them. I have given the next twenty years to two things: helping parents make the right choice for their own children, whatever that choice turns out to be, and helping lead what I believe is a coming change in how families educate their children.

I am not an academic. The research in these essays belongs to the people named in the sources. My job was to read it carefully and tell you what it says, and what it does not. That is why every essay ends with what it does not claim.

I wrote them for the parent I was that night at the kitchen table.

George WeberFather of five

What this article does not claim

  • It does not claim that unease means a child should change schools, or that switching or homeschooling leads to better outcomes.
  • NCES (36 percent). Counts students, not families.
  • Tyton. A consulting firm’s screened survey. The 5 and 12 percent are what parents wanted, not counts of moves.
  • Green-Hennessy and Mariotti. Correlational. It cannot say whether leaving helped. Some missed days may have been a parent’s choice. “Less likely to say they were very satisfied” is a low bar: a parent who was somewhat satisfied counts. We read the abstract only: it does not say who gave the achievement tests or who reported the bullying, or give the exact satisfaction question. Its tests are not a school report card; we set them beside the folder as the nearest thing to one.
  • The calendar. The school-year rhythm, and how long the waiting lasts, are ordinary experience, not data.
  • People. The forum quotes are real public posts (mostly Reddit), usernames left out. The conference, the phone note and the year on are composites. “The first half of deciding” is our framing, and the page is our own suggestion, not something the research tested.

Sources

  • U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (NCES), Parent and Family Involvement in Education: 2023 (NCES 2024-113), published 2024, school year 2022–23. Table A-4 note: “The parents of 36 percent of students reported that they considered other schools.” Survey item “Other schools considered” (SCONSIDR). Students; nationally representative; descriptive. nces.ed.gov/pubs2024/2024113.pdfhttps://nces.ed.gov/pubs2024/2024113.pdf
  • Tyton Partners, Choose to Learn 2024 (Parts 1–3), published February 2024; survey August 2023, N = 2,086 parents screened as “Open-minded” on “their expressed desire to transform their child’s educational experience, coupled with a perceived inability to currently act on that interest.” “Nearly half (48%) of all K-12 parents fall into the Open-minded segment”; School Switchers “10% of segment, 5% of all K-12 parents”; Customizers “(26% of segment, 12% of all K-12 parents) seek to opt out of their child’s current school setting to create a bespoke educational experience”; “Which of the following would cause you to take action to improve your youngest child’s education? Select up to two.”: mental health concerns 46%, academic performance concerns 44%, social and emotional development 32%, physical wellbeing 27%, “Concerns about development of values and belief systems” 16%. Descriptive; consulting firm. 4213961.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na1.net/hubfs/…https://4213961.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na1.net/hubfs/4213961/Publications/Choose%20to%20Learn/Tyton%20Partners%20Choose%20to%20Learn%202024%20(all%20parts).pdf ; press release: tytonpartners.com/choose-to-learn-2024-press-…https://tytonpartners.com/choose-to-learn-2024-press-release/
  • National School Choice Awareness Foundation (a nonprofit that promotes school choice), “School Choice: From Exception to Expectation,” January 7, 2026. Survey of 3,960 U.S. parents of children ages 4–18, December 2–10, 2025, SurveyMonkey national panel, weighted, ±1.6 points. “31% of parents—nearly 20 million—searched for a new school but did not enroll a child. The most common barriers were concerns about disruption (33%), uncertainty about making the wrong choice (26%), limited availability or waitlists (26%), and transportation challenges (25%).” Parents; descriptive. schoolchoiceawareness.org/national-survey-2026/https://schoolchoiceawareness.org/national-survey-2026/
  • EdChoice (a school-choice advocacy organization), 2025 Polling Primer, published July 2025; survey August 2–6, 2024, school parents (Morning Consult online tracker). “Besides moving from grade school to middle school or middle school to high school, has your child ever switched from one type of school (or school sector) to another?” — “One in five parents report that their child has switched school types.” Reasons among switchers: “Excessive stress or anxiety” 31%, “Bullying” 28%, “Academic needs were not being met” 25%, “Difficulty with teachers” 25%, “Depression” 20%, “Bad peer group” 18%, “Concerns that things were taught that were different than your family’s values and beliefs” 16%. Several reasons allowed; any switch between school types. edchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/2025-…https://www.edchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/2025-Polling-Primer.pdf
  • Green-Hennessy, S., & Mariotti, E. C. (2023). “The decision to homeschool: potential factors influencing reactive homeschooling practice.” Educational Review 75(4), 617–636 (online 2021). Early Childhood Longitudinal Study, Kindergarten Class of 2010–11; 187 children who left school for homeschooling before fifth grade. Quoted from the abstract. Prospective, correlational. eric.ed.gov/?id=EJ1385615https://eric.ed.gov/?id=EJ1385615 ; publisher: tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00131911.2021…https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00131911.2021.1947196 ; study design (run by NCES; “a nationally representative sample”; children “followed from kindergarten through the fifth grade”), read 28 Sep 2026: nces.ed.gov/ecls/kindergarten2011.asphttps://nces.ed.gov/ecls/kindergarten2011.asp
  • Parent quotations: public forums (mostly Reddit parenting and homeschooling threads), quoted verbatim with spelling kept and usernames left out. Individual voices, not survey findings.
  • Illustrative composites: the fall conference, the untitled phone note, and the conference a year on.