Trying it  ·  An evidence-based essay for parents

Many Homeschool Spells Last a Year or Two. That’s Not Failure.

What national surveys say about trying it, and how to keep the way back open

14-minute readEvery figure sourced belowBy George WeberNothing here is for sale

It is a Thursday night in late July. The dishwasher is running. The children are finally asleep.

On the counter is a letter to the school office. You wrote it on Sunday. It is three sentences long. It says your son will not be coming back in the fall, and it thanks his teachers. It is signed. It is not sent.

Next to it is the other piece of paper, the one that came in May: the form that holds his place for next year. That one is not signed either.

Your husband comes in for a glass of water and sees you looking at the two of them. He has been good about all of this. He is not against it. He asks the question anyway, gently, the way you would ask it yourself:

“And if it doesn’t work?”

“Then he goes back,” you say.

You both hear how thin that sounds.

The question under his question is not really about school. It is about your son. What if you take him out and it goes badly? What if, next summer, you are filling in that form again, and this time it means you tried and it did not work? Back to what? The same hallway, a year older, as the boy who tried homeschooling and came back? Is there even a way back, or does the school close the door once he walks out of it?

He finishes his water. Neither of you signs anything. The letter goes into the drawer with the takeout menus.

If you have a drawer like that, whether there are two of you or only you, this is about the four words you said at the counter, then he goes back, and whether they are as thin as they sounded.

A door that seems to swing one way

Start with how the choice gets described to you, because that is where much of the weight comes from.

Look up homeschooling tonight and much of what you find describes a whole life: planning guides that run from kindergarten to a diploma, pages on how to write a high school transcript. The families in the pictures have been doing it for years. It is a picture of a road you join and keep walking.

Even the letter in your drawer is built that way. It is a withdrawal letter. It says he is leaving. It has no line in it about coming back.

So both doors look as if they swing only one way. Going means joining a life. Coming back means that life did not take.

Framed like that, deciding feels like a vow. And a vow made on a child’s behalf, with a child’s year at stake, is a heavy thing to sign at a kitchen counter at ten at night. It would be strange if you did not hesitate.

Parents on public homeschooling forums (mostly Reddit) put the feeling in plain words:

“that lingering guilt that I will be making the wrong decision for them and their future.”

“As a parent, you’ll always question the risks…”

“I felt scared and guilty. But I pulled the trigger…”

Parent, public forum

Maybe you are past the counter. Maybe you sent the letter a year ago, or three months ago, and he has been home since. Some weeks are good. Some are not. You have not said it out loud, but you have started to wonder whether going back would be the sensible thing. And right behind that thought comes a sentence you do not want to hear yourself say: if we stop, we failed.

The guilt does not always leave once the decision is made. Sometimes it just turns around. Before, the scary move was leaving. Now, the scary move is going back.

Either way, the weight comes from the same place: the choice was handed to you as a vow. That is a problem in how the choice is offered. It is not a flaw in you.

The belief, and what it gets right

Under both versions, the one at the counter and the one in the first year, sits a single belief. Here it is, said plainly:

If we try it and it doesn’t work, we will have failed him, and there may be no way back.

This is the belief of a parent who takes a child’s year seriously. It refuses to treat him as an experiment. It is also right about more than people usually admit. Three things in it are true, and they deserve to be said before anything else.

A change costs a child something

A new school year in a new place means new adults, a new routine, new rules, and friendships that have to be rebuilt or kept up from a distance. A year at home that ends means that change happens twice, not once. Nobody should tell you that is free. If you are counting it, you are counting correctly.

Special education services can pause

If your child has an IEP, leaving is a bigger step than it is for other children. This is the first of two doors that really do get harder.

The U.S. Department of Education has written guidance on this. In plain words, your state’s law decides how a homeschooled child with a disability is treated.

In states that treat a home school like a private school, he has no right of his own to the special education help he would get in a public school. The district may offer some help through a smaller plan, which the guidance says is generally less complete than an IEP. It does not have to give him what he had before.

So the help he gets now may not continue during exactly the year you are trying. That is a real cost, and the belief is right to weigh it.

High school credits are the school’s call

The second harder door is high school. A year at home in tenth grade may not turn into credits on its own. The school he returns to decides what counts, and states handle that differently.

In New York, the state education department’s own answer is short: “Credit is given only by schools.” It recommends that the principal award credit “on the basis of assessment or evidence” that the student did the work.

In Florida, state rules say credits from a home education program are checked by how the student does in his first grading period back, with other ways to check them if that falls short.

Two states, two different answers to the same question. Yours may be different again.

So the belief is right about three things: change costs something, services can pause, and credits are not automatic. Keep all three. What it may have wrong is the rest of it: how often families actually take the door back, and whether that door is really closed.

What the surveys show about how long families stay

No large study we found has followed homeschooling families year by year. The best numbers come from a simpler method. Researchers asked adults to look back at their own schooling: which years at home, which years in a school. That is as close as the data comes to your question: how long do families actually stay?

How long it lasted

In a 2023 survey by Cardus, a research organization, 2,350 Americans aged 24 to 39 were asked about their schooling. Of those, 181 had been homeschooled for at least one year. Among them:

  • One in five had been homeschooled for only one year.
  • 17 percent had been homeschooled for every year from kindergarten through twelfth grade.

Picture twenty of those adults in one room. About four of them had a single year at home. About three or four had every year at home. The rest, most of the room, had something in between. Call the time each of them spent at home, added up, short or long, a homeschool spell.

A second national survey, the Understanding America Study, found much the same. The Fordham Institute summed up the two. In the Cardus survey, 36 percent of adults who were ever homeschooled did it for only one or two years. In the Understanding America Study, it was 43 percent. Only 11 to 17 percent did it all the way through.

In a 2026 working paper from the University of Arkansas, the researcher Albert Cheng and two colleagues sum up his earlier work across several national samples. Their wider view: about half of all children who were ever homeschooled spent four years or fewer at home.

How often families change course

Families do not make this choice only once. The same working paper reports that in any given year, between 4 and 11 percent of adults who were ever homeschooled had switched between homeschooling and regular school from one grade to the next. That counts moves in both directions. Some families bring a child home. Some bring a child back.

The step into high school is its own story. In the Fordham summary, nearly a third of adults who were homeschooled in eighth grade moved to a school for ninth. If your son is close to high school, that is a common time to move to a school.

Looking at all that movement, the writer of the Fordham summary drew his own conclusion: among these families, the choice to homeschool “seems to be under evaluation at all times.”

How often families do both

Some families do not choose one door at all. In spring 2024, Angela Watson and Matthew Lee surveyed parents across the country. About 250 of them were homeschooling at least one child. Among those homeschooling families, 35 percent also had a child in a traditional public school. Counting charter and private schools too, 44 percent used some other kind of school for at least one child. The authors call these lower-bound estimates. They expect that, as more choices become available, parents will choose more and more “from year to year and child to child.”

If you have one child you want to bring home and one who is happy where he is, you would not be the odd family out.

Some children keep a foot in both places at once. In federal survey data from 2016, the latest we found that reports the figure, almost one in five homeschooled students also attended a school part time.

What the numbers cannot tell you

Two things are missing, and they matter to your question.

No national survey we found has asked families why they stopped. So the surveys cannot tell you how many of those short stretches ended because things went badly and how many ended the way the family planned.

And no study we found has measured how it felt. Whether families experienced going back as a failure, a relief or simply the next step is not in any of this data.

The numbers, then, carry only the first half of the title. Many homeschool spells do last a year or two, and short stays at home are common. That’s not failure is a different kind of claim, and no count can prove it. It is a judgment. It is argued below from two things no survey measures: the plan you make, and your son.

The door back

Go back to the question at the counter. Is there a way back, or does the school close the door once he walks out of it?

Families do come back through it. Some of the yearly switching counted above goes in that direction. What coming back looks like in the rules depends on your state, but here is one example. In New York, the state education department’s answer about a child who comes back from home instruction opens plainly: “As with any other transfer.” The principal decides his grade the same way as for any child who moves in from another school. Where you live, one call to your district will tell you how it would place him.

If he has an IEP, the federal guidance is just as plain. If you enroll him full time in your local public school again, the district “must make FAPE available and be prepared to develop an IEP” for him. FAPE is the free appropriate public education the law promises. The help may pause while he is home. When he comes back full time, that duty comes back with him.

That is the door. The harder half of the belief is the verdict: we will have failed him.

What answers it is the shape of the choice you make at the counter. A vow can be broken. A year with a spring date on it cannot be broken by reaching the date. If you decide in the spring that he goes back, you have not abandoned the plan. You have kept it. And the plan can name its own early way out: what would make you go back sooner. If that shows up in November and you act on it, you have kept the plan then too.

Whenever the year ends, it leaves you with something. You will know things about him that you cannot know tonight: how his reading moved, what he reached for when the morning was his, what he missed about school and what he did not. That is not failing him. That is paying attention to him, on purpose.

Trying a year at home is not a vow, and going back to school is not a failure.

Say it the way you would say it at the counter: We are trying a year. In the spring, we decide, or sooner if we need to. If it fits, we keep going. If it does not, he goes back.

If you are the parent who is already home, it is not too late to give your year a shape. You can still take a snapshot of where he is now, pick a spring date, and write down what would make you stop sooner. What you have learned about him since the fall stays learned, however this year ends.

Keeping the way back open

A year at home is partly reversible by nature. Parents who want to keep the way back open can have three things on hand. None of them is complicated, and they are easiest to set up before the letter leaves the drawer.

A before picture, and a folder

Before he leaves, ask the school for his records: report cards, test scores, attendance, any evaluations. Federal privacy law gives parents “the right to have access to their children’s education records.” It is easier to ask while he is still enrolled than to track them down later.

Then take your own snapshot in the first week at home. Record him reading a page aloud on your phone. Keep one page of his math and one piece of his writing. Put the date on each. This is not a test for him. It is the “before” picture. In the spring, it lets you see what changed. If he goes back, it lets someone else see it too.

After that, keep a simple record as you go: samples of his work each month, the books he read, what he studied and roughly how long, any outside classes or tests. A box on a shelf will do, as long as things go into it every month and not all at once in May. When a child comes back, the school decides what counts, and it may ask for evidence. This is the evidence. For a high schooler, it may be the difference between a year that counts and a year that has to be proved some other way.

One early call

Call your district before you withdraw, while it is a simple question and not an urgent one. Ask how they would decide his grade if he came back next fall, what they would want to see from the year at home, and, for a high schooler, how they would treat a course taken at home. Write down the answers, the date and the name of the person you spoke to, and put that page in the folder.

If he has an IEP, start the call there. Ask what would happen to his services if you withdrew, and what enrolling him again would involve. The same federal guidance says the district where you live generally stays responsible for evaluating a homeschooled child with a disability, re-evaluations included, so ask how that would work while he is home. Keep copies of the IEP and his latest evaluations in the folder. Of everything here, this is the one not to leave until after.

The way back, on one page

Last, write the plan down. One page is enough.

  • A date in the spring when you will decide about next year.
  • What you will look at: the before picture, the folder, how he is, how the household is holding up.
  • What would make you choose to go back, on that date or before it.
  • Where he would go, and who you would call.
  • The sentence you give him.

The date matters more than it looks. Without one, the decision can get made on whatever day is hardest, at whatever hour you are most tired. With one, a bad Tuesday in February is just a bad Tuesday. You write it down and wait for the day you agreed to look. The third line is for something else. If what you wrote there shows up in February, you do not have to wait for spring. That line works on any day.

The last line is there because part of the fear at the counter was about how he would see it: the boy who tried homeschooling and came back. He needs a sentence he can say to a friend or a grandparent: We’re trying a year at home. In the spring we’ll look at how it went, together. If the year ends with him walking back into a school, that sentence was true all along.

If there are two of you, both of you read it. Then it goes in the drawer.

The next time someone asks, “And if it doesn’t work?”, you will not have to answer with four thin words. You can open the drawer.

Next July

Picture the same counter, a year on. Late July again. The dishwasher is running again.

The drawer still has the takeout menus in it. It also has a green folder, fatter than it was, and one page with a spring date circled at the top. The date has passed. You kept it. You sat at this counter with the folder open and looked at the page of math from the first week next to a page from May. The recording of him reading is still on your phone. You played it back. He sounded younger than he does now. He was the one who asked to hear it twice.

Maybe you decided on another year. The folder goes back in the drawer, and a new spring date goes on the calendar.

Maybe you decided he would go back. The folder went to the school office in an envelope, with a copy of the page of answers from last summer’s phone call. In a few weeks he will walk into a building he knows, with a principal who has already seen his work.

Maybe one child goes back and the other stays home.

Whichever it is, it is a decision you made with your eyes open.

The question may still come. It may be your husband, in for a glass of water. It may be your mother on the phone, or a friend, or only you, at this counter late at night. Whoever asks, you know where the answer is kept.

About the writer

Who wrote this, and why

My name is George Weber. My wife, Jaclyn, and I have five children, all under eleven.

My second son is Jordy. When he was seven, we sat at the kitchen table after dinner, and I asked him to explain why reading and discussion were so hard. This is a boy who will stand at a workbench for hours without looking up. He taught his little brother and sister to ride a bike, and then to use a screw gun. He builds things I could not build. That night he kept his head down. Twice, all he gave me was “I don’t know.” Then he said it:

“I’m just not good at school.”

He was not describing a difficulty. He was describing himself.

Here is the part I would rather not say. I had seen it coming for a while. That night I was interrogating a seven-year-old for a reason he did not have, when what he was really carrying was shame. And I kept sending him, because I could not see what else to do.

For years, Jaclyn had told me the truth about the other option. She would not become the entire staff of a school with five children in it, and if we did this, I would have to free at least fifteen hours a week. She was right on both counts, and I could not find the hours. So I know the arithmetic in these essays from the inside.

Before this work, I made more than $4 million building six personal-training studios. I have stepped away from them. I have given the next twenty years to two things: helping parents make the right choice for their own children, whatever that choice turns out to be, and helping lead what I believe is a coming change in how families educate their children.

I am not an academic. The research in these essays belongs to the people named in the sources. My job was to read it carefully and tell you what it says, and what it does not. That is why every essay ends with what it does not claim.

I wrote them for the parent I was that night at the kitchen table.

George WeberFather of five

What this article does not claim

  • Spell data. Every duration figure comes from adults looking back on their own schooling. Cardus asked 2,350 adults aged 24 to 39 who had finished at least high school, so people who did not finish high school are not in its figures. Of them, 181 had ever been homeschooled, so its shares have wide margins. The Understanding America Study figures and the Cheng (2024) figures are read from summaries (Fordham; the 2026 working paper), because the original article is paywalled. The working paper is not peer reviewed, and Cheng is one of its authors, so it is his team’s own summary, not an outside check. The eighth-to-ninth-grade figure is a share of those homeschooled in eighth grade, not a share of all exits.
  • Why and how it felt. No national survey we found has asked families why they stopped homeschooling, or whether they felt going back as a failure. Nothing here says going back will feel easy.
  • Outcomes. Nothing here says a year at home helps or harms a child’s later schooling, grades, college or work.
  • Sector mixing. The 35 and 44 percent come from one 2024 survey by researchers at Johns Hopkins and Kennesaw State, published by EdChoice, a school-choice advocacy organization. Of its 3,191 parents, 249 were homeschooling, and the authors caution that this is a small sample. They call the figures lower-bound estimates. The part-time figure is 2016 survey data (552 completed questionnaires), published in 2019; the federal reports on 2019 and 2022–23 data do not repeat it. That survey counts a child as homeschooled only if the child is enrolled in a school 25 hours a week or less.
  • IEP and credits. The special education summary comes from federal guidance, which says state law decides how homeschooled children are treated. The credit and grade-placement examples come from two states only. None of it is legal advice. Check with your own district and state before you withdraw a child, especially a child with an IEP or a high schooler.
  • The setup. The before picture, the folder, the call to the district, the sentence for a child and the one-page plan are our own framing, built from the rules cited. They have not been tested as a program.
  • People. The forum quotes are real public posts (mostly Reddit parenting and homeschooling threads), quoted as recorded, usernames left out. The counter in July, the first-year parent and the counter a year on are composites.

Sources

  • Cardus, “Diverse Outcomes for a Diverse Population” (Albert Cheng and Angela R. Watson), Cardus Education Survey fielded October 10–22, 2023, by Ipsos KnowledgePanel: 2,350 U.S. adults aged 24 to 39 “who completed at least high school”; 181 ever homeschooled. “one in five adults who were ever homeschooled were homeschooled for only one year”; “a mere 17 percent … were homeschooled for every year of their K–12 schooling.” Descriptive, retrospective; small subsample. cardus.ca/research/education/reports/diverse-…https://www.cardus.ca/research/education/reports/diverse-outcomes-for-a-diverse-population/
  • Cheng, Watson & Lee, EDRE Working Paper 2026-01, University of Arkansas, February 2026 (not peer reviewed). Summarising Cheng (2024), multiple nationally representative samples: “Between 4 and 11 percent of ever-homeschooled adults switched between homeschooling and conventional schooling across grade levels in any given year”; “approximately half of all ever-homeschooled children spent at most four years homeschooling.” edre.uark.edu/_resources/pdf/edrewp-2026-01.pdfhttps://edre.uark.edu/_resources/pdf/edrewp-2026-01.pdf
  • Fordham Institute (Jeff Murray, Ohio Gadfly), “Findings on homeschool persistence can help researchers going forward,” February 4, 2025, summarising Cheng (2024), Journal of School Choice (paywalled): Understanding America Study (2016–2022) 43% homeschooled one to two years, 11% all of K–12; Cardus 2023 36% and 17%; “nearly one-third of adults who were homeschooled in eighth grade exited homeschooling for ninth grade”; “the choice to homeschool seems to be under evaluation at all times among this population” (the summary writer’s own conclusion, not a quote from the study). Secondary. fordhaminstitute.org/ohio/commentary/findings…https://fordhaminstitute.org/ohio/commentary/findings-homeschool-persistence-can-help-researchers-going-forward
  • Watson & Lee, “Who Homeschools, Really?”, EdChoice Working Paper No. 17, July 2025 (Morning Consult survey, spring 2024; 3,191 parents, of whom 249 homeschooled at least one child; EdChoice is a school-choice advocacy organization): “Among households with at least one homeschooled child, 44% use some other educational sector, including traditional public schools (35%), public charter schools (9%), and private schools (13%)”; estimates “should therefore be considered lower-bound estimates”; “As more choices become available, parents are likely to increasingly choose from year to year and child to child …” Companion full paper (PEPG 25-10, Harvard Program on Education Policy and Governance, May 2025): “we have a small sample of homeschooling respondents … caution is recommended when interpreting and generalizing findings to larger populations.” files.eric.ed.gov/fulltext/ED677213.pdfhttps://files.eric.ed.gov/fulltext/ED677213.pdf ; hks.harvard.edu/sites/default/files/Taubman/P…https://www.hks.harvard.edu/sites/default/files/Taubman/PEPG/research/PEPG25_10.pdf
  • National Center for Education Statistics, Homeschooling in the United States: Results from the 2012 and 2016 Parent and Family Involvement Survey (NCES 2020-001), published 2019, 2016 data (552 completed questionnaires): 18% of homeschooled students also attended a school part time (public 15%, private 2%). “Homeschooled” excludes students enrolled in school more than 25 hours a week. Neither the NCES report on 2019 data (NCES 2023-101) nor the one on 2022–23 data (NCES 2024-113) repeats the part-time figure. Descriptive survey; students. nces.ed.gov/pubs2020/2020001.pdfhttps://nces.ed.gov/pubs2020/2020001.pdf
  • U.S. Department of Education, Office of Special Education Programs, “Questions and Answers on Serving Children with Disabilities Placed by Their Parents in Private Schools” (OSEP QA 22-01), revised February 2022. Q I-1: whether home-schooled children with disabilities are treated as parentally placed private school children “is determined under State law”; Q I-2: the district of residence generally conducts child find, “including initial evaluations and reevaluations, for children who are home-schooled”; Q I-3: the district of residence “would have to make FAPE available to the child … if the parent seeks to enroll the child with a disability in the public school full-time”; Q A-6: the district of residence “must make FAPE available and be prepared to develop an IEP for the child”; introduction: such children “do not have an individual entitlement to the special education and related services they would receive if they were enrolled in a public school”; Q E-1: IEPs are generally “more comprehensive than services plans.” Federal guidance, not a study. sites.ed.gov/idea/idea-files/questions-and-an…https://sites.ed.gov/idea/idea-files/questions-and-answers-on-serving-children-with-disabilities-placed-by-their-parents-in-private-schools/ ; full text of the same document as hosted by the South Dakota Department of Education: doe.sd.gov/sped/documents/Private-idea.pdfhttps://doe.sd.gov/sped/documents/Private-idea.pdf
  • New York State Education Department, “Home Instruction Questions and Answers” (accessed September 2026): grade placement of a home-instructed student entering public school: “As with any other transfer, the principal of the school determines the appropriate grade placement of the student”; “Credit is given only by schools. It is recommended that … the principal of the school award credit on the basis of assessment or evidence that the student has successfully completed the course work.” State guidance, one state. nysed.gov/nonpublic-schools/home-instruction-…https://www.nysed.gov/nonpublic-schools/home-instruction-questions-and-answers
  • Florida Administrative Code Rule 6A-1.09941, “State Uniform Transfer of Students in Middle Grades and High School,” as amended effective August 27, 2024, subsection (2): credits of a home education student “shall be validated through performance during the first grading period”; the student “should have a minimum grade point average of 2.0 at the end of the first grading period”; alternatives include “Portfolio evaluation by the superintendent or designee” and standardized assessments. State rule, one state. Rule text: law.cornell.edu/regulations/florida/Fla-Admin…https://www.law.cornell.edu/regulations/florida/Fla-Admin-Code-Ann-R-6A-1-09941 ; official index: flrules.org/gateway/ruleNo.asp?id=6A-1.09941https://www.flrules.org/gateway/ruleNo.asp?id=6A-1.09941
  • U.S. Department of Education, Student Privacy Policy Office, “What is FERPA?” (accessed September 2026): FERPA “affords parents the right to have access to their children’s education records.” studentprivacy.ed.gov/faq/what-ferpahttps://studentprivacy.ed.gov/faq/what-ferpa
  • Parent quotations: public homeschooling forums (mostly Reddit parenting and homeschooling threads), quoted verbatim with spelling kept and usernames left out. Individual voices, not survey findings.
  • Illustrative composites: the counter in July, the first-year parent, and the counter a year on. Not real, named families.